The UK has been greeted on its return to work today with the news that mortgage approvals rose 4% in the month from January to February this year.  Good news most will say.  However, the question that remains is is the UK market beginning its recovery, or is this simply a blip in an otherwise continuing downward spiral?

A number of property indicators in 2009 have suggested some form of recovery is under way.  From my own network of contacts in the property industry, January and February were certainly upbeat months.  So who is buying?  It seems it is a combination of first time buyers and property investors keen to take advantage of what they see as value in the market. There is certainly an increased level of demand from first time buyers who, having previously not been able to get on the ladder and have saved in the meantime, and now in position to take advantage of lower prices.

Many property investors, who will abide by the “buy low, sell high” philosophy, see an opportunity to buy up stock previously out of their reach.  Due to the increased numbers of repossessions, the Below Market Value (BMV) industry has certainly exploded in the last 3 months, with investors looking to buy at anywhere between 20% and 30% below market value on second hand property, and as much as 60% below market value for unsold developer stock.  These factors, combined with a stabilising in mortgage rates and products has led to increased enquiries, sales, and therefore the improvement in nationwide data released by various bodies.

In addition to this, lower interest rates have meant homeowners, specifically on tracker mortgages, have in some cases more than halved their monthly outgoings.  The government can therefore argue that lowering rates has put more money back in some people’s pockets.  However, it has been well documented that rate cuts have not, in the main, been passed on, so the financial easing has not affected the whole homeowner market.

So where are we?  Well general economic data would suggest the bottom has not quite arrived.  Job cuts are still being made and mainstream lending does not appear to have improved much.  Coupled with the facts that repossessions are still rising and general transactions between homeowners are still low would suggest that there is a blip in the market.  However, supply and demand are still fundamental when looking at the property market.  As prices fall, demand generally increases, and there is no doubt that demand has increased in 2009.  One could take a further view that if property prices continue to fall, the demand will continue to increase from both increased levels of first time buyers and investors looking for even better deals.  Therefore, it is my opinion that the property market will find a natural recovery point in the not too distant future.

It would seem that as the sun comes out, the days are longer and the weather takes a turn for the better, good news seems to be emerging from one of the nations leading Building Societies, with figures showing house prices and mortgage lending rising in March, compared to the previous month.

Nationwide have reported that in February 2009, the average house price was around £147,746, but the March figure has just emerged at £150,946, which is just under a 1% increase, at 0.9%.

I think it’s fair to say this is quite an unexpected rise, but does this really indicate we are heading into calmer storms and leaving the hurricane recession behind us? According to Nationwide, it is very early days, as they described the change as a “surprise bounce” and warned against concluding the market had turned.

Commenting on the figures Fionnuala Earley, Nationwide’s Chief Economist, said:

“Spring brought a surprise bounce to house prices in March. The price of a typical house increased for the first time since October 2007, rising by 0.9% during the month and reducing the annual rate of fall from -17.6% to -15.7%. This brings the price of a typical house to £150,946. The moderation in the annual rate of fall is somewhat distorted by conditions last year and so it would be unwise to draw strong conclusions from the significant slowdown in the annual rate of fall. Equally, while the rise in prices in March is welcome, it is far too soon to see this as evidence that the trough of the market has been reached.

The Bank of England has already taken strong measures to ease the tensions in economic and financial markets by cutting rates and commencing quantitative easing. However it will take time for these to work through into the housing market before we can expect a sustained recovery in house prices.”

To add to the good news about house prices, Nationwide also revealed to the country that Mortgage Approvals were the highest since May 2008, with February seeing mortgage approvals rise to 37,900, nearly its highest level for a year.

The more houses that are sold and purchased, the more money is pumped back into the economy, so these two pieces of news are not only a great joy to hear, but also tiny bits of gold dust that we need to start collecting in the years ahead.

So, in a year of mass redundancies, economic doom and gloom and of course the lack of any money to spend on the nice things, we say thank you Nationwide and may you bring us more good news next month, the month after and the following months that come.

You see, we like good news, it just feels better.

Aside from a certain former banking executive and his pension, the main discussion this week has seen many people in the industry and financial world talking about whether they would or they wouldn’t.

The answer came to light about an hour ago. They did.

The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee today voted to reduce the official Bank Rate paid on commercial bank reserves by 0.5 percentage points to 0.5%, and to undertake a programme of asset purchases of £75 billion financed by the issuance of central bank reserves. Never before have we seen a rate this low which was also accompanied with the news that the BOE would be pumping more money in to the country to help increase spending.

The statement from the Bank Of England website read:

“At its March meeting, the Committee noted that the February Inflation Report had implied a substantial risk of undershooting the 2% CPI inflation target in the medium term and that a further easing in monetary policy was likely to be needed.  Data released since the finalisation of the Report had not materially altered that prospect.  Accordingly, the Committee concluded that a further easing in the stance of monetary policy was warranted.  But the Committee also noted that a very low level of Bank Rate could have counter-productive effects on the operation of some financial markets and on the lending capacity of the banking system.  On balance, the Committee decided to reduce Bank Rate by 0.5 percentage points, to 0.5%.

The Committee judged that this reduction in Bank Rate would by itself still leave a substantial risk of undershooting the 2% CPI inflation target in the medium term.  Accordingly, the Committee also resolved to undertake further monetary actions, with the aim of boosting the supply of money and credit and thus raising the rate of growth of nominal spending to a level consistent with meeting the inflation target in the medium term.”

Like a boxing match, you will have two corners today, one of which will be dancing around the ring with their hands in the air, and the other who is sat on the stool with a feeling of a sharp kick in the stomach. If you have a tracker mortgage, today’s news will leave you feeling pleased, if not ecstatic, but if you rely on or have savings accounts, things are not looking so rosy.

So, when you go down the pub tonight, the people smiling have a mortgage, the people with half a pint, a gloomy look and possibly the hint of a tear in their eye have simply been doing what we have always been told to do, saving their money in a bank or savings account.

Selling properties, especially investment properties and buy to let properties used to be quite easy. Sorry to all the sales people out there, but it did.

Having previously worked for a property investment company, I know that it was plausible to push through 4 – 5 deals a week, very rarely without any lending problems and mortgage approvals tended to be easier than finding a Manchester United fan in London. Those were the glory days of lending and up until a year ago the level of lending was at a record high and the amount of buy-to-let mortgages that were being approved was staggering, also accompanied by some of the best rates investors had ever seen.

Some would say this is the reason we are in the midst of a recession and struggling, but that is another blog, one of which we have covered and will cover elsewhere.

Recently, I brought a couple of stunning BMV deals to the table, as we felt that after a year in which we would not touch property, we now had a couple of deals that really did make sense to the investor. This was due to better discounts, newer and an increased amount of decent mortgage rates and just the general feeling that property had hit its lowest level and was now starting to recover, according to reports from leading lenders and banking institutions.

We sold Penn Lane within a couple of days and currently have offers on the further two properties that we have on our books, but we kept hitting a common discussion with some of our investors – “would love to buy it, I am just too old, I wont get the mortgage”.

As with anything, previous misconceptions had started to creep back in to investors minds. Some of our investors tried to get a mortgage just as things were starting to look really bad and were hit with many reasons why they would not be approved, one of them being age which is in fact in relation to risk. This had then been indented into their investment strategy and they were probably now missing out on deals that they really wanted to get involved with.

We work with one mortgage broker and a quick call to them to inform them of this supposed age issue and we were met with they reply that this indeed was not really the case anymore, and in fact we could offer mortgages to people in their late 50’s and beyond. Chris then went back to the investor, forms went in, and he is now waiting to complete on the deal next week, which is a bonus not only for us, but also for the investor that a year ago was simply not able to go through with these deals any more.

In April last year mortgage lenders got edgy, they were panicking, they knew trouble was ahead and they were refusing mortgages for many reasons. In fact, I can not mention the name, but I knew of one mortgage that would not go through this time last year because the property had decking!!

With mortgage lending now recovering, new criteria are in coming into play and some old reasons to refuse are falling away.

Are you too old for a mortgage on an investment property? Ask us, you might just be surprised.

Some good news has been reported from the British Bankers’ Association (BBA) this morning, with early indications showing that mortgage approvals rose in January, with approval levels hitting 23,376 last month, up 4% from 22,416 in December.

But, as it seems with every other story that has some good news in it, there is also some not so positive reports, with the number of approvals in January still 43% lower than the same month a year earlier.

Hardly surprising in the current climate, but the fact that mortgage lending is continuing to rise month on month could be taken as a sign that we are starting to emerge from the gloomy mist which has been partially caused by the lack of lending over the past 6 or 7 months.

BBA statistics director, David Dooks, said of the latest data:

“The high street banks’ mortgage lending is still seeing double-digit annual growth, albeit in a much slower market. Lower borrowing costs and falling property prices have underpinned demand at these lenders, who are providing over two-thirds of all new mortgage lending. There is only limited demand from households for unsecured credit, while a fall in their deposits in January reflects a tendency to draw on cash or to move into alternative financial products.

“Lending to non-financial companies rose after two monthly falls, with modest increases in several industrial categories, while finance for other financial companies reversed the year-end fall in lending.”

The BBA also reported that in January, net mortgage lending rose by £2.9 billion, consumer credit rose in line with the recent average and overall company finance increased by £14.1 billion, reversing the previous month’s fall.

However, personal deposits fell by £2.3 billion as spending drained cash and savers sought alternative deposit products.

It is good to see some positive comments from the BBA, hopefully which will hopefully encourage more people to apply for mortgages who might not have previously considered applying, as they thought they did not stand much of chance in being approved. If we see another month of increased approvals for February, indications would suggest that the housing slump has reached its lowest bottom point and that the only way from here on in is up.

But, until we see the figures from the BBA and other leading bodies next month, we will take the positives from the news today and hope there is much more to come.

New statistics were published today by the Council of Mortgage Lenders on mortgage arrears and possessions. Unsurprisingly, full year figures for 2008 show a sharp rise on 2007, but many steps are being taken to help borrowers facing difficulty. Interestingly, there were 5,000 fewer repossessions than expected and were forecast in the previous year, with the measures that were introduced towards the end of year seemingly having some kind of effect.

A few stats and figures released by the CML today:

* 5,000 fewer repossessions than forecast in 2008
* 40,000 repossessions in the year - 1 in 290 mortgages
* 10,400 repossessions in the fourth quarter - 1 in 1,100 mortgages
* 1 in 64 mortgages in arrears of 2.5% or more
* 1 in 53 mortgages in arrears of three months or more (inflated by lower interest rates)
* 75,000 repossessions forecast for 2009 remains unchanged.

Around 10,400 properties were taken into possession by first charge mortgage lenders in the fourth quarter of 2008, down from 11,100 in the previous quarter but up from 6,900 in the fourth quarter of 2007, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders. The total number of first-charge repossessions in the year was an estimated 40,000. This was 5,000 lower than the CML’s original forecast for the year.

The fact that there were 11% fewer repossessions than expected, despite a worsening economy and rising unemployment, demonstrates that mortgage lenders are making strenuous efforts to ensure that repossession really is a last resort. It is important to recognise that repossessions include a proportion of abandoned properties and property fraud. They also include buy-to-let repossessions, as well as home-owner repossessions. In the vast majority of cases where home-owners are committed to working with their lender to keep their home, this outcome is successfully achieved.

At the end of 2008, around 182,600 mortgages - or 1.57% of the total - had accumulated arrears equivalent to 2.5% or more of the outstanding balance  - for example, £2,500 or more on a £100,000 balance (a £97,500 mortgage plus £2,500 arrears). This compares with 1.29% at the end of the third quarter of 2008, and 1.08% at the end of 2007.

On a “number of months” basis, 219,100 mortgages were in arrears of more than three months at the end of 2008, up from 166,600 at the end of the third quarter of the year, and up from 127,500 at the end of 2007. However, the big reduction in mortgage rates experienced in 2008 was a significant influence on the rise in the number of arrears cases measured on a “number of months” basis - as the same given sum of arrears represents a higher number of months payments as interest rates fall.

The vast majority of people who face temporary difficulties successfully work with their lender to stay in their homes, and get their mortgage back on track over time. Where borrowers contact their lender early, maintain good communication and are committed to paying what they can and resolving their arrears, lenders work hard to help wherever the household’s future prospects look feasible.

Source – CML Press Releases

After 11 months of continual house price falls, it would seem the run is finally over, at least according to one leading bank.

According to the Halifax, the price of UK homes rose by 1.9% in January, and data based on mortgage approvals showed that the average house price reached £163,966.

A quote on the BBC website reads:

“There are some very early signs that market activity may be stabilising, albeit at quite a low level,” said Halifax chief economist Martin Ellis.

“Nonetheless, continuing pressures on incomes, rising unemployment and the negative impact of the dislocation of the financial markets on the availability of mortgage finance are expected to mean that 2009 will be a difficult year for the housing market.”

Although this news is somewhat unexpected, it does contradict the survey released from Nationwide last week which reported prices had in fact fallen by 1.3%, so really it is up to you who to believe. But when more banks and mortgage companies release their figures, we will be in a better position to know the more accurate standings. Even so, it is great news that house prices are now starting to rise again, which could indicate the prices have fallen as far as they are going to go, something we are all hoping for.

In other news today, the Bank of England is expected to cut the interest rates again, with most predicting another 0.5% cut, taking the rates down to an amazing 1%, great news for those of us on tracker mortgages. The news will come later this afternoon, with our Managing Director Chris Davidson offering his view on whatever the conclusions may be tomorrow.

The forthcoming cut is not so welcomed by some business groups, based on the fact previous reductions have failed to help; they do not want to see another cut today. They would rather the bank increase lending, which to many small and medium businesses is a very valid point to be making. The Federation of Small Businesses (FSB) is one of the business groups saying it would prefer rates to stay on hold for February, according to the BBC.

So, house prices up and interest rates down, many will begin to ask the question this morning, is the recession beginning to ease, or have we just had a good month ahead of even worse times to come. A pessimist or an optimist will provide different thoughts, opinions and conclusions, but if the report is accurate, it really is a great month to be buying property as you might not get a chance to get it much cheaper.

Don’t forget to check out our latest BMV property deal by clicking here, we only have this one unit left, which we expect to sell today.

Everybody in the industry, if not the country knew that any report about lending and mortgages would indicate bad news and show a decrease in the levels of lending seen throughout the past year.

2007 saw total lending reach around £363.7 billion, but 2008 saw this drop around 30% to £256.4 billion which was the lowest annual figure since 2002.

Michael Coogan, CML director general, said:

“December is typically a quiet month in the mortgage market, on top of which the market has been constrained by a shortage of funding and reduced demand.

“This week’s package of measures to support the financial system and invigorate new lending was an essential and welcome move by government. The next challenge is to settle the detailed requirements for each measure, so that they can be used by as wide a range of market participants as possible, and as soon as possible.

“A mortgage market solely funded by a few large banks and building societies would be unlikely to have the capacity to match future consumer borrowing demand, or be as competitive in the long term as the UK market has been before the credit crunch.  Increasing the range of active lenders and funding capacity in the market overall is a vital next step.

“Further measures targeted at the housing market are likely to be needed to supplement the welcome intervention to address liquidity and capital concerns.”

So what does this mean for the country?

Early indications for the year of 2009 show that in the early part of the year we can expect the lending to drop even further, but early optimistic reports are indicating the strong possibility that we could see an increase in lending towards the later part of the year.

December has always been a very quiet month for mortgage lending and when combined with the current lending issues and restrictions, the report is hardly surprising. Lending was getting out of control, increasing the national and personal debt, so at sometime it had to lower to a more realistic rate and I think we are seeing that now.

Even though the drop is quite a steep in terms of year by year comparison, we as a country could not of gone on lending at the rates seen from 2002 – 2007, so maybe the report indicates we are now acting on the current problems and by reducing lending we are now beginning to climb the very steep hill of recovery.

And if you’re looking for an interesting fact of the day – according to the CML, There are 11.7 million mortgages in the UK, with loans worth over £1.2 trillion.

Although interest rates are a funny old thing, sometimes good for us and sometimes not so, they play a vital and pivotal part of the UK’s financial stability and are used to try to control the economy.

According to Wikipedia :

“An interest rate is the price a borrower pays for the use of money they do not own, and the return a lender receives for deferring the use of funds, by lending it to the borrower. Interest rates are normally expressed as a percentage rate over the period of one year.

Interest rates targets are also a vital tool of monetary policy and are used to control variables like investment, inflation, and unemployment.”

History of Interest Rates

In the 17th Century, The Bank Of England was set up by William of Orange and proceeded to loan the Government of the time around one million pounds to help rebuild the country and help to finance wars and missions overseas. The early days of Interest Rates rarely saw any movement, with rates moving only twice in the 18th Century, moving lower and then increasing towards the end.

1840 saw the beginning of the rise and fall of interest rates, with the Bank of England moving rates many times from 1847 to the current day. The rates were changed by many things, war, economy and even the collapse of London bank, Overend, Gurney and Company caused the rates to rise a massive four times in May, finally hitting 10%, only the second occasion this had happened up until that point.

In 1890 the Bank of England had to bail out a major bank in Barings, which helped to avoid the collapse of the whole banking system due to heavy losses overseas, mainly in Argentina. Fast forward around 100 years and the interest rates hit their highest every peak to date, reaching a massive 17 percent, which introduced the early governing months of the Tory party, led by Margret Thatcher.

Despite a large rise in 1992 to avoid Black Wednesday, which was soon reversed, interest rates have generally fallen, which brings us all the way to 2009 where interest rates reached their lowest every point in their 300 year history, touching 1.5% as the UK faced recession.

What do Interest Rates mean to you?

As a general rule, if you do not own a home or have much in savings, they may not mean much.

When the interest rates are low, borrowers on tracker mortgages generally pay less per month for their mortgage as long as the lender passes the cut on, but your savings earn less in terms of interest. The opposite occurs when the rates are high, as borrowers on tracker mortgages generally pay more, but you earn more on your savings. Of course, borrowers on a fixed rate mortgage will be unaffected in terms of mortgage repayments.

Loans tend to be unaffected as a general rule, as most borrowers with a personal loan will be on a fixed rate. If recent events are any indication then rates for new customers are also unlikely to fall.

History has shown that the Bank of England has successfully controlled the finance of the UK by raising and lowering interest rates when needed, if this were not the case then we would be in serious trouble now. Although the latest cut does indicate significant problems ahead, taking this kind of action will help millions of people survive the next couple of years, and as for the question will they rise again, yes, of course they will, it’s only a matter of time … and more interest rate history will be made.

It is not every morning you get a thought of the day from a computer questionnaire about your lifestyle. But today I had just that.

Every so often I take part in official surveys and questionnaires, ranging from questions about my life to what I think about certain products and even well known people.

One question on the questionnaire today had me thinking. It was such a simple question but left me feeling a little bit annoyed, worried, anxious, perplexed and many other adjectives and the reason for this will become clear.

The question was a simple “Do You Own Your Home” – with the options as follows –

• I own my home
• I rent my house
• I live with parents / relatives
• Prefer not to say

I live in a 2 bedroom house with two parking spaces outside that has a mortgage on it. It is my mortgage, I paid my deposit, filled in the forms, pay a monthly payment to the mortgage lender and yes, I would call this my home. But, logically, this is not my home, I only own 10% of it, which might allow me to say half of the kitchen is mine but the rest is owned by the mortgage company.

Effectively, if you have a mortgage you do not own your home, the lender, in most cases the mortgage company does. It is a bit like buying a car on hire purchase, the lender will own the car until you pay the loan back and housing is no different.

If you are on a repayment mortgage, over time you start to own more and more of your home, but until that mortgage is complete you will never be in full control. Of course, should you be on an interest only, you never own your home; you are basically just renting it from the mortgage company.

Such a simple question provoked a thought I have never had before, despite living here for three years. I would go as far to say I am renting, just not from a landlord or agent, from a mortgage company.

Maybe I am looking at things from a somewhat simplistic view, but next time someone or something asks me if I own my home, I am sure my answer will always be yes, but in the back of mind I will know that I will never own my home, I am just a glorified tenant.