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Are the days of property exhibitions over?

chrisg | March 12, 2009

Back in the autumn I was looking forward to the latest round of property exhibitions and promptly booked my tickets for a couple of them in London & Birmingham. I entered both in anticipation & left disappointed. However, my own personal feelings aside I noticed an overwhelming feeling amongst agents that the branding exercise of an exhibition stand was still very much a must, despite the lack of investors through the door.

Now before you say it, of course I attended on ‘trade day’ – day one of three which is often perceived as a big networking event where cold pitching business is welcomed as opposed to discouraged. However, upon following up conversations during the oncoming week I would ask how they felt the attendance was and they would all say the same, that it was “ok” but “no, not a great deal of leads but they’ll do”. And besides, since when would an agent take a non-client call the week after an expo!

This told me that the branding exercise of attending was still very much at the forefront of their priorities despite the economic downturn. So with another round of exhibitions just over a month away I have begun to think about attending these also. By contrast I could be right in not having enthusiasm for doing so and certainly on the basis of my attendance last time round it would be a waste of energy! However this time round I shall be there with bells on (ok, perhaps sans bells) for other purposes, more on that another time.

So between the autumn & oncoming exhibitions we have seen a fair few goings on in the exhibition scene, particularly goings. One major exhibition has downsized from its traditional venue at Excel to the smaller Earls Court whereas another has retained its choice of larger venue. For me this reflects a paradigm shift in the quality of the anticipated audience. Active investors in the market are fewer but most certainly present, so gone are the days of bag grabbing “shoppers”, which can only be a good thing.

However the question which does remain is that are those actively in the market likely to attend an exhibition nowadays? Are they now sticking to their trusted agents and or relying more on the internet? Only time will tell. For me this is a last throw of the dice for the exhibitions. If they work then they will live on, but what if they don’t? If no-one comes through the doors, who is going to part with their decreasing budgets to attend again this autumn? However, with market share diminishing and hot on the heels of the announcement this week of voluntary administration by a household name attendee & purchaser of larger stands, those agents remaining have little option of siding with the former. Attend they will and with maximum optimism, but one thing is certain.

The question is branding more important that online marketing will be answered come the end of spring.

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Snow blankets City

chrisg | February 3, 2009

It was a thin day of trading across London yesterday as snow blanketed the city, wreaking havoc with transport networks and forcing 1 in 5 workers to stay at home. The weather placed even more pressure on small business owners already feeling the effects of the credit crunch.

Pound Sterling - UK markets

The Pound is slightly weaker against the Euro and US Dollar this morning as negative manufacturing data and the Bank of England interest rate decision continue to pressure the Pound. Currently at 1.42 versus the Dollar and 1.10 versus the Euro, the Pound is also down against its European and Australasian currency partners.

Yesterday was a negative day for UK equities as shares in transport companies declined due to the disrupted service and Barclay’s shares plummeted after their credit rating was cut by Moody’s. Heathrow suffered its worst day since September 11 2001 and labour strikes across Northern oil refineries continued to disrupt production. Official figures show UK manufacturers cut jobs at a record pace in January, with over 30,000 lost and employment prospects remain grim. Predictions this morning claim an extra 2000-3000 businesses could go bankrupt if the bad weather continues and more snow is expected across the UK. There is no further data in the UK today with consumer confidence figures released tomorrow.

US Dollar - US Markets

The Dollar is gaining on the Pound and Euro this morning as both currencies are under pressure ahead of interest rate decisions on Thursday. The Dollar is also up on the Yen and down against the Aussie and Kiwi Dollars.

Iconic department store Macy’s is to cut 7000 jobs or 4% of its workforce as a result of recession in the US. GM and Chrysler, having received a $17 billion dollar bail out from Congress, are under increasing pressure to make their industries more viable and justify the Federal expense. President Obama is also seeking to promote US industry and include greater protection against foreclosures in his economic stimulus package that is currently seeking Senate approval. The Washington Post Consumer Confidence survey is released in the US today.

Euro – European Markets

The Euro has declined against the Dollar this morning, down to 1.28 after widespread contraction across the Eurozone manufacturing sector. The Euro has gained against the Pound and other European currency partners.

German retail stales have declined for the third consecutive month and the German economy is expected to contract 2.25% this year. As the largest economy in the Eurozone with a significant export sector, this could place even further pressure on the Euro as we move into 2009. BP has reported a 24% drop in quarterly profits which sent shares plummeting this morning. This comes after Royal Dutch Shell announced a 10% profit drop in the final 3 months of 2008. Terms of the US rescue package have UK and European exporters worried as a ‘Buy America’ clause aimed at stimulating US iron, steel and manufacturing industries, could also promote protectionism. The EMU Producer Price Index is out today with retail sales figures due tomorrow.

Other Currencies - Highlights

The Australian government yesterday took decisive action against ‘severe global recession’ slashing interest rates to an historic low of 3.25% and the announcing a $42 billion rescue package. However, this has also created concerns about the growing budget deficit and global recession is keeping the Australian and New Zealand Dollars vulnerable. Downturn in the worlds’ major economies has reduced demand for export goods and ensured risk aversion remains a feature of international trading. The New Zealand unemployment rate is released tomorrow.

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